News: Presidential Election
2008
Evidence of Consecutive APA Bloc Votes
80-20 is a national non-partisan political organization dedicated to achieving equal opportunity for Asian Ams. After 150 years of "benign neglect" by the political establishment, we believe that Asian Am. community must learn how to reward politicians who share our RIGHTFUL concerns and punish those who don't. How? By delivering bloc votes to those political leaders who share our concerns. Below you'll find in chronological order 4 bloc votes delivered by 80-20.
Table of Contents:
- The 2008 bloc vote
- Primary Election (California Primary)
- CNN's Anderson Cooper 360 (video)
- NY Times Exit Poll
- LA Times Exit Poll
- Google Exit Poll
- General Election
- AALDEF poll of 16,665 Asian Am voters in 11 states
- CNN Exit Poll
- The 2006 bloc vote
(Congressional race)
- CNN Exit Poll
- The 2004 bloc vote
- Ethnic Specific Exit Polls
- AALDEF poll of 20 cities
- APAALC Poll of Southern California
- Council of Philippine American Organizations of San Diego
Poll
- Korean American Exit Poll
- Mainstream Media Exit Poll Results
- Los Angeles Times Poll
- New York Times Poll (showing trends)
- Washington Post poll
- The 2000 bloc vote
- National Science Foundation poll
A) The 2008 bloc vote
1. The 2008 Democratic primary in California
By now, 80-20 has grown even stronger. Again, questionnaires were sent to all presidential candidates prior to any primary election. Front runner Senator Hillary Clinton replied with all yeses while another front runner Senator Barack Obama had not. None of the Republican candidates replied. Therefore, 80-20 endorsed Senator Clinton in the CA primary and delivered a stunning 71/25 bloc vote according to the LA Times, and 3 to 1 according to the NY Times. (Note: Sen. Obama has since replied to our questionnaire with all yeses. Therefore, 80-20 is now neutral between Sen. Clinton and Sen. Obama.)
CNN's Anderson Cooper 360 (video) To watch the video, please click HERE.
NY Times Exit Poll
"On the Democratic side, the picture for Mrs. Clinton seemed equally clear; her support was widespread across the state and strong among the constituencies who have supported her in other states. For example, according to exit polls, Mrs. Clinton won Hispanic votes by a 2-to-1 margin over Barack Obama, and she won Asians by a 3-to-1 margin. Mr. Obama outpolled Mrs. Clinton among white Democrats and took 8 out of 10 African-American votes, while besting her among voters under the age of 30." - The New York Times; February 6, 2008; Politics
To read the rest of the article, please click HERE.
Los Angeles Times Exit Poll
% of electorate
|
Race |
Clinton |
Obama |
McCain |
Romney |
Huckabee |
Dems |
Reps |
8 |
6 |
Aisans |
71 |
25 |
66 |
8 |
10 |
7 |
2 |
Blacks |
18 |
78 |
- |
- |
- |
30 |
13 |
Latinos |
67 |
32 |
39 |
27 |
16 |
52 |
76 |
Whites |
46 |
45 |
42 |
38 |
11 |
To view the full demographic profile of California voters, please click HERE.
Google Exit Poll
"Exit polls after the California vote indicated Senator Clinton won 60 per cent of the Latino vote, and a disproportionate share - 70 per cent - of Asian voters."
- The Sydney Morning Herald; February 7, 2008; US Election
To read the rest of the article, please click HERE.
2. The 2008 General Election
With your support, a bloc vote led by 80-20 PAC was delivered for Obama. Here's the proof. Two reliable exit-poll results are cited.
i. The AALDEF Poll: http://www.aaldef.org/article.php?article_id=388
AALDEF polled 16,665 Asian Am voters in 11 states, where the Asian Am population is high. It provided language assistance to those being polled. The eleven were all blue states, except for Texas which is red, Virginia and Nevada which are battleground states.
In those locations, Asian Americans favored Obama over McCain by 76% to 22%, with 2% voting for other candidates. That is we favored Obama by a 3.4 to 1 ratio. Two details revealed by that poll are noteworthy.
(a) Those with English proficiency, which 80-20's e-newsletters can reach, voted 82 to 17. That is already better that 80-20, our name sake. Wow!
(b) Every Asian Am. ethnicity followed 80-20's lead, except for the Vietnamese Am.
ii. The CNN Poll: http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/results/polls/#USP00p1
CNN polled nationally. Its sample size for Asian Americans was so small that there was an estimated 5 pt. uncertainty. CNN didn't provide language assistance. It reported that Asian Ams voted 62% to 35% to 3% for others. 62 to 35 is only 1.7 to 1. We conjecture 62% to be on the low side.
However, the GREAT NEWS is that even the CNN number is good enough to convince the Republican Party to begin sharing the rightful concerns of Asian Ams. See below how Asian Americans, under 80-20's leadership, have shifted against the GOP in 12 years.
The following data come from CNN/(NY Times) exit polls.
In 1996, there was no 80-20, we basically voted 50/50 or favored GOP slightly. The race was Clinton(D)/Dole(R)/others. AsAms voted 43/48/8.
The GOP has a (5 pt) advantage.
In 2000, 80-20 was 2 yrs old & endorsed Gore enthusiastically because Gore sent us a strong letter of commitment while Bush didn't. AsAms voted 54/41/4 for Gore/Bush/Nader.
The GOP has a (13 pt) dis-advantage.
In 2004, 80-20 endorsed Kerry with reservation because he answered our questionnaire with all yeses (3) but failed to keep a promise. Bush didn't answer. AsAms voted 58/41/0 for Kerry/Bush/others.
The GOP has a (17 pt) dis-advantage.
In 2008, 80-20 endorsed Obama enthusiastically because he answered our questionnaire with all yeses (6), while McCain didn't. AsAms voted 62/35/3 for Obama/McCain/others.
The GOP has a (27 pt) dis-advantage!
Unless the Republican party is suicidal, which we doubt, 80-20 will soon deliver another benefit to you -- having the GOP share our rightful concerns as well.
That is how the political process works. We reward those who share our rightful concerns, and punish those who don't. Soon, both political parties will COMPETE to share our rightful concerns. Have you noticed how the Democrats and the Republicans compete to share the concerns of Jewish Americans?
Do recognize that 80-20 seeks only equal citizenship for Asian Americans, while prodding America to become "a more perfect Union."
B) The 2006 bloc vote (Congressional race)
80-20 has grown stronger. It was also much frustrated by the Bush Administration's refusal to enforce an existing law (Executive Order 11246) for Asian American s so that we may also enjoy equal opportunity in workplaces. Repeated appeal was made to Labor Secretary Elaine Chao to enforce the law for Asian Americans. she steadfastly refused, even when Democratic Senator Thomas Carper used his good office trying to get Sec. Chao together with President S. B. Woo of 80-20. As a result, 80-20 endorsed all Democratic Congressional candidates, except for three Republican candidates who had been consistent friends of the Asina American community. The Asian Am erican vote proved to be crucial in winning the US senate race in Virginia . Asian Americans in VA voted 68/32 in favor of Webb. Our bloc vote gave Democrats the one vote majority for the control of the Senate.
CNN Exit Poll
State |
VA |
NJ |
CA |
% of AsAm voters |
6% |
3% |
3% |
Sen. Candidates |
Webb/Allen |
Menendez/Kean |
Feinstein/Mountjoy |
How AsAms voted |
68/32 |
74/24 |
70/26 |
Democrat Webb won VA Senate race by 7231 votes giving Dems the Senate
leadership. According to CNN poll figures, Virginians cast 2,364,217 votes
for the senate races, with 3% (70926 votes) cast by Asian Americans. Of
those, Webb got an advantage of (68-32) or 35 points which translates
to (70926 x 0.35) or 29,824 votes. Without the AsAm bloc vote, Democrats
would not have won a Senate majority.
C) The 2004 bloc vote - The 2004 Presidential General Election
80-20 began to submit formal questionnaires to all presidential candidates of both parties. A Yes or No answer was required. The candidate must sign the reply. Such commitments are generally known in the political world as iron-clad promises. Sen. Kerry replied with all yeses. Pres. Bush's campaign inquired if 80-20 would accept a reply in composition style. 80-20's answer was that it would not given much weight to such a reply. Bush didn't send a reply. 80-20 endorsed Kerry, and delivered 68/41 according to NY Times, and 64/34 according to LA Times.
1. APA Specific Polls for APA Voting Patterns
Asian American Legal Defense and Education Fund (AALDEF)
Candidate |
Asian |
George Bush (R) |
24% |
John Kerry (D) |
74% |
Other |
2% |
11,000 Asian American voters responded to written questionnaires translated
into 9 Asian languages at 82 poll sites in 20 cities in New York, New
Jersey, Pennsylvania, Massachusetts, Rhode Island, Virginia, Michigan,
and Illinois.
Asian Pacific American Legal Center (APALC)
Candidate |
Asian |
African Amer. |
Latino/a |
White |
George Bush (R) |
41% |
14% |
23% |
46% |
John Kerry (D) |
57% |
85% |
76% |
53% |
Other |
2% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
4,030 citizens in Southern California responded to the APALC survey.
By surveying large numbers of Asian American voters in six languages other
than English, the APALC’s Southern California Voter Survey is the
largest and most comprehensive exit poll of Asian American voters in California.
Council of Philippine American Organizations of San Diego, Inc.
Candidate |
Asian |
African Amer. |
Latino/a |
George Bush (R) |
49.2% |
18% |
22.7% |
John Kerry (D) |
33.6% |
60% |
67.2% |
Other |
11.5% |
10% |
5.5% |
Korean American Exit Polls
National Korean American Service and Education (NAKASEC) and its affiliates
Korean Resource Center ( Los Angeles ), Korean American Resource and Cultural
Center ( Chicago ), and YKASEC- Empowering the Korean American Community
( New York )
Candidate |
Flushing, NY |
Chicago, IL |
Los Angeles, CA |
George Bush (R) |
29% |
47% |
40% |
John Kerry (D) |
60% |
52% |
58% |
2. Mainstream Media Exit Poll Results
Los Angeles Times
Candidate |
Asian |
African Amer. |
Latino/a |
White |
George Bush (R) |
34% |
14% |
45% |
57% |
John Kerry (D) |
64% |
86% |
54% |
42$ |
Other |
* |
0% |
2% |
0% |
To read the rest of the article, please go HERE
(registration required). PDF Format is available HERE.
The Los Angeles Times Poll interviewed 5,154 voters who cast ballots
in the general election Tuesday as they exited 136 polling places across
the nation, including 3,357 California voters as they exited 50 polling
places across the state. Precincts were chosen based on the pattern of
turnout in past primary elections. The survey was a self-administered,
confidential questionnaire, in English and in Spanish. The margin of sampling
error is plus or minus three percentage points for all voters, including
California voters. For some subgroups, the error margin may be somewhat
higher. Fieldwork provided by Schlesinger Associates of Edison, N.J. and
Davis Research of Calabasas.
New York Times
|
1992 |
1996 |
2000 |
2004 |
** |
|
D |
R |
O |
D |
R |
O |
D* |
R |
O |
D* |
R |
O |
White |
39 |
40 |
20 |
43 |
46 |
9 |
42 |
54 |
3 |
41 |
58 |
0 |
R+5 |
Black |
83 |
10 |
7 |
84 |
12 |
4 |
90 |
8 |
1 |
88 |
11 |
0 |
R+5 |
Latino |
61 |
25 |
14 |
72 |
21 |
6 |
67 |
31 |
2 |
56 |
43 |
2 |
R+23 |
Asian |
31 |
55 |
15 |
43 |
48 |
8 |
54 |
41 |
4 |
68 |
31 |
0 |
R-4 |
Led by |
Repub.+24 |
Rep+5 |
Dem+13 |
Dem+37 |
|
* Presidential Candidate endorsed by 80-20
** The last column shows that all other races
supported Pres. Bush more strongly in 2004 than in 2000, except Asian
Americans, who responded to 80-20's endorsement and supported Pres. Bush
by 4 points less than in 2000.
Washington Post (CNN uses the same poll service)
Candidate |
Asian |
African Amer. |
Latino/a |
White |
George Bush (R) |
39% |
10% |
41% |
55% |
John Kerry (D) |
61% |
90% |
56% |
44% |
Other |
* |
0% |
3% |
0% |
To read the rest of the article, please go HERE
(registration required)
Results presented here are from an exit poll based on interviews with
13,047 randomly selected voters as they exited polling places around the
nation yesterday and telephone interviews conducted prior to the election
in 13 states. Sampling error for the overall results is plus or minus
one percentage point; it is somewhat larger for subsamples. Final percentages
may shift slightly. The exit poll was conducted by Edison Media Research
and Mitofsky International for the National Election Pool, The Washington
Post and other news organizations. The NEP is an association of ABC News,
CNN, CBS News, Fox News and the Associated Press.
D. The 2000 bloc vote
The 2000 Presidential General Election - the first ever by 80-20
80-20 had only been established for about 2 years, it sensed it could only be effective in endorsing the nominee of either party in the General Election. Gore sent a very strong statement to 80-20 pledging to help Asian Ams. win equal opportunity, including high level Federal appointment of Asian Americans. Bush didn't send any letter. 80-20 endorsed Gore and delivered
66/32 to Gore nationwide and 70/28 in CA, shown in a post election nation wide survey by the National Science Foundation (NSF).
National Science Foundation (NSF)
You may agree that a survey sponsored by the National Science Foundation,
NSF, is the most scientific and therefore likely to be the most accurate. 80-20
was the only organization explicitly mentioned in the national survey. We
delivered 66/32 to our endorsed candidate nationally, and 70/28 in California
according to the NSF survey.
Please see http://www.80-20initiative.net/NAA_Political_Survey.pdf.
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